Lahore School of Economics

A distinguished seat of learning known for high-quality teaching and research

Lahore School of Economics macro model for the Pakistan

The model predicts that GDP growth over the fiscal year July 2022 – June 23, (FY2023), will be 0.82 percent. This projection for the annual growth rate of GDP for FY2023, has been weakened by two quarters of falling GDP growth.

Inflation for FY 2023 is estimated by our model at 26.1%. This is year on year, for FY 2023, compared to FY 2022.

The supply shock of the floods in Q1 of FY2023, has been succeeded by another supply shock in Q2. This is the government policies to reduce imports which has constrained manufacturing. The model estimates that a 20% drop in imports may reduce industrial value added by almost 10%.

Read the paper here (pdf)

Labels: , , ,

posted by S A J Shirazi @ 2/27/2023 03:51:00 PM,

<< Home

City Campus

104 - C, Gulberg III,

Lahore, Pakistan.

Phones: 92-42-35714936, 38474385

Fax: 92-42-36560905

Main Campus

Intersection Main Boulevard Phase VI

Burki Road

Lahore, Pakistan.

Phones: 36560935, 36560939


Like on Facebook

Follow on Twitter

Subscribe by Email

Web This Blog

Popular Links

Alumni, Convocation, Debates, Faculty, Images, Life at Campus, Publications, Management of Pakistan Economy

Archives

Previous Posts

Powered By

Powered by Blogger