Global Energy Price Shock Weighs Heavily on Pakistan’s Economy, Lahore School of Economics Report
June 30, 2026
Pakistan’s economy is facing mounting pressure from a prolonged global energy price shock that has slowed economic growth, accelerated inflation, widened external imbalances, and increased poverty, according to a new quarterly report released by the Modelling Lab of the Innovation and Technology Centre at the Lahore School of Economics.
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 6/30/2026 09:22:00 AM,
Economy struggling under weight of global energy shock: report
June 29, 2026
Pakistan’s economy is struggling under the weight of a global energy shock that has dampened growth, stoked inflation, and strained the country’s external accounts, according to a quarterly report prepared by the Modelling Lab of the Innovation and Technology Centre at the Lahore School of Economics.
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 6/29/2026 09:25:00 AM,
Growth dips to 3.1% on energy shock
June 27, 2026
Pakistan's economic growth stands at 3.1% this fiscal year, but a brutal global energy shock is threatening to drag that figure down further, with millions of the country's poorest citizens already paying the price.
That is the central finding of the Lahore School of Economics' latest quarterly assessment for Financial Year 2025-26, released by its Modelling Lab. The report, authored by economists Dr Moazam Mahmood and Dr Azam Amjad Chaudhry, paints a sobering picture of an economy caught between fragile recovery and external pressure it cannot control.Read more »
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 6/27/2026 01:25:00 PM,
State of the Pakistan Economy, Growth, Inflation and Welfare in Pakistan
June 25, 2026
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 6/25/2026 03:15:00 PM,
Lahore School of Economics projects 2.4pc GDP growth for FY2025-26
November 24, 2025
The Modeling Lab at the Lahore School of Economics has released its annual GDP growth estimates for Pakistan’s fiscal year 2025-26, projecting a modest growth rate of 2.4 percent based on macroeconomic variables observed during the first quarter from July to September. This figure represents no improvement from the previous fiscal year 2024-25, which also recorded a growth rate of 2.4 percent.
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 11/24/2025 09:17:00 AM,
State of the Pakistan Economy, Growth, & Inflation in Pakistan
November 19, 2025
Dr. Moazam Mahmood, Professor, Faculty of Economics
Dr. Azam Amjad Chaudhry, Professor & Dean, Faculty of Economics
Amna Noor Fatima, Manager, Data Analyst, Modeling Lab
Seemab Sajid, Data Analyst, Modeling Lab
Anoosha Liaqat, Data Analyst, Modeling Lab
Syeda Khadijah Batool, Data Analyst, Modeling Lab
Click here to read
Labels: Dr. Azam Chaudhry, Economic Growth, Growth, Inflation, Innovation and Technology Center, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 11/19/2025 10:15:00 AM,
Pakistan's economy is stuck in a low growth trap!
August 04, 2024
Pakistan is facing a low growth trap while the new budget essentially increases expenditure through more borrowing and a higher burden of taxes.
Increasing expenses, based on heavy borrowing, just raise the payments on borrowing, which now account for 57% of the total expenditure. This policy is clearly profligate and not sustainable; therefore, this perverse Gordian knot will have to be cut.
This is the crux of a report titled “State of Pakistan’s economy, growth, inflation, welfare and budget 2024-25”, released by the Lahore School of Economics.
Labels: Budget, GDP, Growth, Inflation, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 8/04/2024 11:33:00 AM,
GDP Growth, Inflation, and Welfare for FY 2023-24, and the Budget for FY 2024-25
August 03, 2024
The Lahore School of Economics macro model for the Pakistan economy estimates that GDP growth over the fiscal year FY 2023-2024 (Jul-Jun) has been 1.68%. This low estimate of GDP growth for FY 2023-2024, is based on a sustained weakness in sectoral growth over the first quarter (Q1), especially in large scale manufacturing, which has barely broken even, from the contraction of the previous year FY 2022-2023 of - 2.9%, compounded by a weak, below trend growth, recovery in agriculture. Our model projects that GDP growth accordingly should rise to 3.3% for FY 2024-25.
So, a flatline estimation for the annual growth rate of GDP for FY 2022-2023, has been succeeded, by a very weak GDP growth for FY 2023-2024 of 1.68%. Comparable to GOP’s estimate of GDP growth for FY 2023- 2024 of 2.4%. The IMF has a slightly higher estimate, compared to ours, for FY 2023-2024 of 2.0%. The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank have smidge higher estimates, compared to ours, for FY 2023- 2024 of 1.8% and 1.9%, respectively.
Labels: Budget, Dr. Azam Chaudhry, GDP, Growth, Inflation, Lahore School, Pakistan, Pakistan Economy, Research
posted by S A J Shirazi @ 8/03/2024 08:56:00 AM,
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